Nazir's website

Sigmoid and exponential

Sep 20, 2024

A sigmoid and an exponential look pretty much the same up to a certain point. And many people often mistake one trend for the other in their forecasts. What is more, we have never seen infinite exponential growth in processes tied to the physical world. So, properly speaking, the question to ask is: where exactly will the inflection point be?

Originally posted in Russian on my telegram. This is a translation.

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